Al Masry 2-0 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.12
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
X/2
10%
7.98
X/X
15%
3.48
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
5%
7.45
2/X
9%
17.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.99
+53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
22.5 Crosses 12.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-0
AWAY Simba
0.84 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
271 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry got the better of Simba 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Masry had 41% of the ball to Simba's 59%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.84 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Simba?

Al Masry 2-0 Simba in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 50%, draw 30%, Simba 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
2 Apr 2025
16:00 Stellenbosch FC vs Zamalek Analysis →
19:00 ASEC vs RSB Berkane Analysis →