Adama City 1-3 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
+37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adama City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-1 Adama City Adama City ETH
09.05.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-1 HT 0-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
1-3
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema beat Adama City 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dire Dawa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adama City had 47% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 53%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adama City and 1.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Adama City 1-3 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adama City 28%, draw 32%, Dire Dawa Kenema 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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