Cannes 1-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

Cannes
1-2 HT 0-1
Reims
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cannes EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 53%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+82% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cannes
1-2
AWAY Reims
1.13 xG 2.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
393 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 23
36 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cannes vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims squeezed past Cannes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Reims as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cannes had 61% of the ball to Reims's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.13 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Reims's control.

What was the final score of Cannes vs Reims?

Cannes 1-2 Reims in the France - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cannes vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cannes 27%, draw 26%, Reims 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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