KMC 3-2 Tanzania Prisons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KMC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanzania Prisons EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.09/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.75
+1% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KMC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Tanzania Prisons
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.10.2024 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 1-2 KMC KMC Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
12.04.2024 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 1-1 KMC KMC Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
16.01.2022 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 0-2 KMC KMC Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KMC
3-2
AWAY Tanzania Prisons
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KMC vs Tanzania Prisons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KMC nicked a narrow win over Tanzania Prisons 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; KMC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KMC had 54% of the ball to Tanzania Prisons's 46%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KMC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KMC and 0.67 for Tanzania Prisons.

What was the final score of KMC vs Tanzania Prisons?

KMC 3-2 Tanzania Prisons in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KMC vs Tanzania Prisons?

Before kick-off our model rated a KMC win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split KMC 33%, draw 33%, Tanzania Prisons 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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