Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 May 2024

Chelsea
2-0 HT 1-0
Tottenham
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.65
2-3 Goals
36%
2.26
4-5 Goals
27%
2.41
6+ Goals
18%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
11%
6.11
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.45
2/2
12%
3.41
2/X
7%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.9pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.44/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.68
-24% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.3 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Chelsea vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.73 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
539 Passes 289
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-4 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
26.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
14.08.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.01.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.01.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNLK
05.01.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK

Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-0
AWAY Tottenham
2.17 xG 1.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
274 Passes 499
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea saw off Tottenham 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea had 37% of the ball to Tottenham's 63%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.17 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chelsea and 0.83 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 46%, draw 24%, Tottenham 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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