Varbergs GIF 0-3 Landvetter IS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Landvetter IS EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.54
-20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Landvetter IS
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.06.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS İSÇ4
06.04.2023 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS 0-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
15.09.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-1 HT 0-0 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
0-3
AWAY Landvetter IS
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Landvetter IS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landvetter IS ran out comfortable winners over Varbergs GIF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs GIF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 54% of the ball to Landvetter IS's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Landvetter IS led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.00 for Landvetter IS.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Landvetter IS?

Varbergs GIF 0-3 Landvetter IS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Landvetter IS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 45%, draw 25%, Landvetter IS 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Varbergs GIF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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