Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.4pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.03
-23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
451 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
22.05.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
24.07.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
20.03.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
27.09.2020 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
23.05.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-1
AWAY Vitebsk
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk and Vitebsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Minsk carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 66% of the ball to Vitebsk's 34%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Vitebsk?

Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 57%, draw 22%, Vitebsk 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ BTTS No
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