Uni. Catolica 0-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 May 2024

Uni. Catolica
0-1 HT 0-0
Barcelona SC
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.5 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.12.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
21.11.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
31.05.2021 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Uni. Catolica 0-1 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
0-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.64 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
307 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC edged past Uni. Catolica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 45% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 55%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.64 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Uni. Catolica 0-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 47%, draw 23%, Barcelona SC 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5
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