Bahardar 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.45
Over 2.5
26%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.19
No
73%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
74%
Under 2.5
65%
+8.4pp
26%
Over 2.5
35%
-8.4pp
27%
BTTS Yes
42%
-14.2pp
73%
BTTS No
58%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.48/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
1-0
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar squeezed past Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Bahardar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (73%) came in.

On the day, Bahardar had 46% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 54%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Bahardar 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 40%, draw 30%, Dire Dawa Kenema 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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