Mixco 1-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.41/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.53
-2% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
28.01.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
05.10.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-2 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.08.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
23.02.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 2-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
1-0
AWAY Antigua GFC
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco edged past Antigua GFC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mixco had 52% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 48%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mixco and 1.50 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Antigua GFC?

Mixco 1-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mixco 48%, draw 23%, Antigua GFC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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