Zamalek 1-0 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.91
Over 2.5
37%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.46
6+ Goals
6%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 36% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.5pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 28%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.29
+56% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
14.7 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-2D-0L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
09.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
16.12.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
22.06.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
22.11.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
27.08.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-0
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.70 xG 0.43
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
514 Passes 271
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over National Bank of Egypt 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 35% / 25% — and on the day Zamalek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Zamalek had 61% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zamalek's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamalek and 0.67 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt?

Zamalek 1-0 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 40%, draw 35%, National Bank of Egypt 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
2 May 2024
19:00 Future FC vs El Geish Analysis →