Madla 2-5 Staal Jorpeland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-15.9pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madla EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.61/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.37
-26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Staal Jorpeland
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2023 Madla Madla 3-3 HT 3-0 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
09.06.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 3-2 HT 2-1 Madla Madla NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madla
2-5
AWAY Staal Jorpeland
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Madla vs Staal Jorpeland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Staal Jorpeland swept aside Madla 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Madla at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Madla had 53% of the ball to Staal Jorpeland's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Staal Jorpeland led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Madla and 3.00 for Staal Jorpeland.

What was the final score of Madla vs Staal Jorpeland?

Madla 2-5 Staal Jorpeland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madla vs Staal Jorpeland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madla win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Madla 51%, draw 23%, Staal Jorpeland 26%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Madla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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