Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 2 May 2024

Pogon Szczecin
1-2 HT 0-0
Wisla Krakow
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Cup – 2023/2024

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.01
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.1
6+
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.33
X/2
13%
8.32
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 ✗
13%
22.3
2/2
10%
5.92
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow The Market 28%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.40
-52% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
354 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-1 HT 2-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
26.09.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
19.02.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 2-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
13.09.2020 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
13.12.2019 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
10.08.2019 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL

Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1-2
AWAY Wisla Krakow
52% Ball Possession 48%
29 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 10
14 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Wisla Krakow edged past Pogon Szczecin 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.80, ~56%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.61, about 62%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 52% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 48%, shots finished 29-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.00 for Wisla Krakow.

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Result & Final Score

Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 26%, Wisla Krakow 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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