CSKA Moskova 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 May 2024

CSKA Moskova
1-1 HT 0-0
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2023/2024

CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.53
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
13%
5.81
X/2
10%
4.83
X/X
18%
3.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.49
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Moskova v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.54
-10% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7

CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 0.90
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 494
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova Rusya - Süper Kupa
19.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.08.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
28.11.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
26.08.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Zenit St. Petersburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 47% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 53%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 33%, draw 29%, Zenit St. Petersburg 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →