Rostov 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 2 May 2024

Rostov
0-1 HT 0-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅02/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Super Cup – 2023/2024

Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.45
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
11%
4.53
X/2
12%
6.72
X/X
16%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.18
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 0.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
274 Passes 248
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 15
5 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS

Rostov 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad squeezed past Rostov 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Baltika Kaliningrad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 65% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 35%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Rostov 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Super Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rostov 40%, draw 27%, Baltika Kaliningrad 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ BTTS Yes
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