FBK Karlstad 4-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.53/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.33
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad swept aside IFK Kumla 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs IFK Kumla?

FBK Karlstad 4-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 52%, draw 24%, IFK Kumla 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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