Cordoba 4-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
8%
4.55
X/2
13%
8.03
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.35
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.53/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.54
+19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.9 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cadiz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
314 Passes 216
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 2-0 HT 2-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
24.03.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
18.11.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-3 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
14.01.2018 Cadiz Cadiz 2-0 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
19.08.2017 Cordoba Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
20.05.2017 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
4-2
AWAY Cadiz
4.18 xG 0.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
417 Passes 170
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
54 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba beat Cadiz 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cordoba had 67% of the ball to Cadiz's 33%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 4.18 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cordoba and 1.83 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Cadiz?

Cordoba 4-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 43%, draw 26%, Cadiz 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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