Louisville City 2-0 Lexington — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 2 May 2025

Louisville City Elo 1747 · World #182 (clubs) WWDWW→
2 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Lexington Elo 1658 · World #425 (clubs) LLLDD→
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Louisville City vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:20
Match Result
HomeVIEW
64%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.09
Away
16%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.03
Over
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.85
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
27%
2.99
6+
8%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Louisville City v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Louisville City The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY Lexington The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.81
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4

Louisville City 2-0 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
2 - 0
AWAY Lexington
1.22 xG 0.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
238 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Louisville City vs Lexington
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Louisville City got the better of Lexington 2-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Louisville City had 44% of the ball to Lexington's 56%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.82.

Louisville City vs Lexington Result & Final Score

Louisville City 2 - 0 Lexington in the USL Championship on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Louisville City vs Lexington Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 64%, draw 20%, Lexington 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →