Manchester United (K) 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.74/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.86
+34% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.9 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 0.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
26.01.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
19.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
09.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKFAK
04.02.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
05.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
1-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.70 xG 1.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) and Brighton & Hove Albion (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester United (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 57% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 43%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.70 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manchester United (K) and 0.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Manchester United (K) 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 57%, draw 22%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →