UMF Tindastoll 2-4 KFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 2 May 2026

UMF Tindastoll
2-4
KFA
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2026

UMF Tindastoll vs KFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.33
Over 2.5
69%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
39%
-7.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
61%
+7.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.4pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Tindastoll v KFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KFA EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.60/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.35
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFA beat UMF Tindastoll 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UMF Tindastoll at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs KFA?

UMF Tindastoll 2-4 KFA in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs KFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 58%, draw 23%, KFA 18%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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