UMF Tindastoll 5-1 Ymir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 3rd Division, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.8pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-5.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ymir EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Ymir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll swept aside Ymir 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Ymir?

UMF Tindastoll 5-1 Ymir in the Iceland - 3rd Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Ymir?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 57%, draw 26%, Ymir 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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