Verl 4-0 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 May 2026

Verl
4-0 HT 3-0
Havelse
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Verl vs Havelse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.46
Over 2.5
68%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.78
2-3 Goals
36%
2.29
4-5 Goals
35%
2.32
6+ Goals
14%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.45
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
22%
4.14
X/2
3%
18.15
X/X
4%
10.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
17.15
2/2
6%
13.25
2/X
6%
21.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.15 — our 8% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-1.1pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
25%
+6.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
75%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Havelse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.53/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.40
+20% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.4 Crosses 15.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Verl vs Havelse Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Havelse
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
376 Passes 151
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
19.03.2022 Havelse Havelse 1-3 HT 0-2 Verl Verl AL3
18.10.2021 Verl Verl 5-3 HT 3-1 Havelse Havelse AL3
13.07.2019 Havelse Havelse 2-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl HAZ
30.06.2018 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse HAZ

Verl 4-0 Havelse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
4-0
AWAY Havelse
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
519 Passes 186
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl cruised past Havelse 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Verl had 67% of the ball to Havelse's 33%, shots finished 22-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Verl and 1.60 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Verl vs Havelse?

Verl 4-0 Havelse in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Verl 72%, draw 17%, Havelse 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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