Melbourne Srbija 1-0 Moreland Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.46
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
60%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-4.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
60%
Away Win
53%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland Zebras EU Bookmakers 57%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.99/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Moreland Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija nicked a narrow win over Moreland Zebras 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Moreland Zebras carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Moreland Zebras?

Melbourne Srbija 1-0 Moreland Zebras in the AVPL1 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Moreland Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 21%, draw 19%, Moreland Zebras 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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