Mikkeli 1-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 2 May 2026

Mikkeli
1-0 HT 1-0
Haka
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.35
2-3
44%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.18
6+
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka The Market 57%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.83/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.07
-20% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Haka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
16.06.2020 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-3 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK
01.10.2015 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
1-0
AWAY Haka
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli nicked a narrow win over Haka 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mikkeli had 47% of the ball to Haka's 53%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mikkeli and 2.50 for Haka.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs Haka?

Mikkeli 1-0 Haka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 27%, draw 22%, Haka 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Under 2.5
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