Irtysh Pavlodar 0-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 May 2026

Irtysh Pavlodar
0-1 HT 0-1
Kairat
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.72
Away Pick
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.97
Over
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.74
No
52%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Irtysh Pavlodar v Kairat — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat The Market 59%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.14/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.68
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Kairat
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
03.11.2019 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 5-0 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
03.10.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 0-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
08.04.2015 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 1-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
27.06.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 0-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.04.2014 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 2-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
REVIEW Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kairat found just enough to beat Irtysh Pavlodar 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.75, about 57%.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Irtysh Pavlodar against 1.20 for Kairat.

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat Result & Final Score

Irtysh Pavlodar 0-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 18%, draw 26%, Kairat 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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