Erdi VSE 3-2 Balatonlelle SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erdi VSE EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Balatonlelle SE EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.51/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-75% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +74%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erdi VSE
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Balatonlelle SE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.10.2025 Balatonlelle SE Balatonlelle SE 0-1 HT 0-0 Erdi VSE MAC3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erdi VSE
3-2
AWAY Balatonlelle SE
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Erdi VSE vs Balatonlelle SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erdi VSE nicked a narrow win over Balatonlelle SE 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erdi VSE as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erdi VSE had 63% of the ball to Balatonlelle SE's 37%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Erdi VSE vs Balatonlelle SE?

Erdi VSE 3-2 Balatonlelle SE in the Hungary - NB III on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erdi VSE vs Balatonlelle SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erdi VSE win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Erdi VSE 52%, draw 24%, Balatonlelle SE 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erdi VSE) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erdi VSE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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