Vestri 4-2 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 2 Jun 2024

Vestri
4-2 HT 3-2
Stjarnan
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Vestri vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vestri v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +62%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
209 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
– Crosses 16.4
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Vestri vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
13.02.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri saw off Stjarnan 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Stjarnan?

Vestri 4-2 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vestri 32%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 44%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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