Union Espanola 4-3 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.50/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.38
+12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.9 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.01.2020 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
29.09.2019 Union Espanola Union Espanola 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
13.04.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-2 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.08.2018 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
15.04.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
4-3
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.76 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
337 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola nicked a narrow win over Deportes Iquique 4-3. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 46% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 54%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.76 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Espanola and 1.00 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique?

Union Espanola 4-3 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 47%, draw 25%, Deportes Iquique 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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