Genk 0-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Jun 2024

Genk
0-1 HT 0-0
Gent
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Genk vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.62
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.98
X/2
10%
5.73
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.4
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v Gent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.50/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.39
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.9 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Genk vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.10.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
05.02.2023 Gent Gent 2-3 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
18.09.2022 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
15.05.2022 Genk Genk 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
24.04.2022 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL

Genk 0-1 Gent — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-1
AWAY Gent
0.50 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
311 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent edged past Genk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gent found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 47% of the ball to Gent's 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.50 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genk and 1.17 for Gent.

What was the final score of Genk vs Gent?

Genk 0-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Genk 33%, draw 30%, Gent 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →