Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-9.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.89/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.56
-15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
07.05.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
21.06.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
28.02.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
4-2
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino saw off Dnepr Mogilev 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 66% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 34%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.33 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 60%, draw 22%, Dnepr Mogilev 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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