Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 2 Jun 2024

Pachuca
3-0 HT 2-0
Columbus Crew
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024

Pachuca vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 26% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pachuca v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 25%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
6.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
+150% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
3-0
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.08 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
308 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca ran out comfortable winners over Columbus Crew 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pachuca had 46% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 54%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Columbus Crew?

Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew in the CONCACAF Champions League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 52%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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