University Of Pretoria vs Baroka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
University Of Pretoria v Baroka — Team-Based Signals
University Of Pretoria vs Baroka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
University Of Pretoria
GAF1
2-1
HT 1-1
University Of Pretoria
GAF1
1-3
HT 1-0
Baroka
GAF1
University Of Pretoria 1-0 Baroka — Actual Match Statistics
University Of Pretoria squeezed past Baroka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had University Of Pretoria as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, University Of Pretoria had 33% of the ball to Baroka's 67%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.47 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for University Of Pretoria and 2.00 for Baroka.
What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Baroka?
University Of Pretoria 1-0 Baroka in the South Afrika - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Baroka?
Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 44%, draw 29%, Baroka 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (University Of Pretoria), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.