Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.38
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
5.85
X/2
14%
4.86
X/X
10%
4.27
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.39
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.93
-47% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.5 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Daegu
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.07.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
20.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
22.04.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-0
AWAY Daegu
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
239 Passes 441
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Daegu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 43% of the ball to Daegu's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 40%, draw 26%, Daegu 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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