Kairat 4-2 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.66/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.88
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Kairat Kairat 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
01.04.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.10.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
21.05.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
28.11.2021 Kairat Kairat 3-3 HT 2-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
26.09.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat saw off Shakhter Karagandy 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 0.83 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Kairat 4-2 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kairat 59%, draw 23%, Shakhter Karagandy 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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