02/06/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Fram Larvik vs Sandnes Ulf II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
20%
Draw
19%
17%
Away Win
18%
27%
Under 2.5
24%
73%
Over 2.5
76%
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
42%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fram Larvik v Sandnes Ulf II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fram Larvik
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sandnes Ulf II
EU Bookmakers 21%
+27% /
+27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
2.76/0.22
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.19/3.34
+9%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-18%
/
-30%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
437 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
0.7
POST-MATCH
Fram Larvik vs Sandnes Ulf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fram Larvik cruised past Sandnes Ulf II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fram Larvik as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Fram Larvik vs Sandnes Ulf II?
Fram Larvik 4-0 Sandnes Ulf II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fram Larvik vs Sandnes Ulf II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Larvik win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fram Larvik 63%, draw 20%, Sandnes Ulf II 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Larvik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fram Larvik)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
2 Jun 2024