Gor Mahia 1-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.69/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.75
+38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
07.10.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-2 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
20.10.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia and Leopards SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.00 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC?

Gor Mahia 1-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 50%, draw 27%, Leopards SC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5
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