Ekvador (K) 1-0 Guatemala (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Jul 2025

Ekvador (K)
1-0
Guatemala (K)
📅02/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Ekvador (K) vs Guatemala (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
24%
7.78
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
81%
-22.6pp
24%
Draw
10%
+13.1pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekvador (K) v Guatemala (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Ekvador (K) 1-0 Guatemala (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador (K)
1-0
AWAY Guatemala (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Ekvador (K) vs Guatemala (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador (K) squeezed past Guatemala (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ekvador (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ekvador (K) had 50% of the ball to Guatemala (K)'s 50%, shots finished 1-0.

What was the final score of Ekvador (K) vs Guatemala (K)?

Ekvador (K) 1-0 Guatemala (K) in the Friendlies on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador (K) vs Guatemala (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ekvador (K) 58%, draw 24%, Guatemala (K) 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
2 Jul 2025
00:00 Zbrojovka Brno vs Zemplin Michalovce Analysis →
00:00 UTA Arad vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →
00:00 Slavia Prag vs Universitatea Cluj Analysis →
00:00 AEK Atina vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
12:00 Panathinaikos vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Analysis →
12:00 Bohemians 1905 vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Analysis →