Naft 2-1 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 48%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.38/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.27
-65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft squeezed past Al Zawraa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Naft found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al Zawraa?

Naft 2-1 Al Zawraa in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naft 38%, draw 28%, Al Zawraa 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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