Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Jul 2025

Juan Pablo II College
1-1 HT 0-1
Melgar
📅02/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
21%
2/1
15%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juan Pablo II College v Melgar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
0.79/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.96
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
15.8 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
1-1
AWAY Melgar
0.96 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juan Pablo II College and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 49% of the ball to Melgar's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar?

Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 30%, draw 32%, Melgar 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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