Aragua 1-1 Miranda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aragua EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Miranda EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aragua
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Miranda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
11.06.2025 Miranda Miranda 3-0 HT 1-0 Aragua Aragua VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aragua
1-1
AWAY Miranda
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aragua vs Miranda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aragua and Miranda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aragua had 61% of the ball to Miranda's 39%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Aragua vs Miranda?

Aragua 1-1 Miranda in the VENK on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aragua vs Miranda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miranda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aragua 32%, draw 31%, Miranda 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miranda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miranda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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