Falkirk 2-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.27
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
11%
8.5
X/X
13%
5.72
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
11%
6.25
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.65/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.56
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Queens Park
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
14.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCK
30.04.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.02.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.12.2021 Queens Park Queens Park 6-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
28.08.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Queens Park 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Falkirk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Queens Park led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Falkirk and 1.80 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Queens Park?

Falkirk 2-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 40%, draw 29%, Queens Park 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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