Lidköpings FK 3-2 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.5pp
35%
Draw
24%
+11.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.7pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.75
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lidköpings FK
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-4 HT 0-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
08.10.2022 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
18.08.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-3 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
05.09.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lidköpings FK vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lidköpings FK edged past Ahlafors IF 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lidköpings FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lidköpings FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lidköpings FK and 1.60 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Lidköpings FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Lidköpings FK 3-2 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lidköpings FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lidköpings FK 30%, draw 35%, Ahlafors IF 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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