Thun 1-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 Aug 2024

Thun
1-1 HT 1-0
Stade Ouchy
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Thun vs Stade Ouchy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Stade Ouchy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.05/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.92
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.7 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Thun vs Stade Ouchy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
17.02.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
14.10.2022 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
10.09.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSV2
23.04.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-1 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
12.03.2022 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2

Thun 1-1 Stade Ouchy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.59 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
201 Passes 291
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun and Stade Ouchy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Thun had 45% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 55%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.59 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thun and 1.83 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Ouchy?

Thun 1-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thun 48%, draw 25%, Stade Ouchy 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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