Grazer AK 2-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.87
2-3 Goals
43%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+11.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
Crosses 18.2
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Salzburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 10
03.04.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-6 HT 0-4 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
24.02.2007 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
29.10.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.08.2006 Salzburg Salzburg 4-1 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
02.04.2006 Salzburg Salzburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
2-3
AWAY Salzburg
0.83 xG 2.94
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
183 Passes 589
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg nicked a narrow win over Grazer AK 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Grazer AK had 30% of the ball to Salzburg's 70%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.83 to 2.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salzburg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Grazer AK and 3.50 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Salzburg?

Grazer AK 2-3 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 23%, draw 22%, Salzburg 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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