VSK Arhus 3-2 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.85
+17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Lyseng
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
26.08.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-0 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
22.10.2022 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 5-0 HT 2-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
12.08.2022 Lyseng Lyseng 0-0 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
09.04.2022 Lyseng Lyseng 0-4 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus nicked a narrow win over Lyseng 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for VSK Arhus and 0.20 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Lyseng?

VSK Arhus 3-2 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 46%, draw 24%, Lyseng 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ Over 2.5
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