AGF Aarhus 4-0 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.64
-26% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.1 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
18.04.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
18.02.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-3 HT 2-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
27.10.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-2 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
27.09.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
21.02.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
4-0
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.92 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
494 Passes 275
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus cruised past SonderjyskE 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 61% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 39%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.92 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.17 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?

AGF Aarhus 4-0 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 47%, draw 24%, SonderjyskE 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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