02/08/2024
·
00:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Cacahuatique vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
19%
Draw
19%
68%
Away Win
71%
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
55%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cacahuatique v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cacahuatique
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alianza
EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
-5%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
7
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
218 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
447 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Cacahuatique vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alianza beat Cacahuatique 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Alianza?
Cacahuatique 1-3 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Alianza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 14%, draw 19%, Alianza 68%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Alianza)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ELSAL
More El Salvador - Primera Liga
2 Aug 2024