Monarcas Morelia 1-4 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.67
Over 2.5
58%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
56%
-13.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
44%
+13.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +32%
1.19/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.22
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.09.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.05.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
10.02.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
15.07.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio ran out comfortable winners over Monarcas Morelia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day CD Tapatio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.00 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs CD Tapatio?

Monarcas Morelia 1-4 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 33%, draw 27%, CD Tapatio 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →