Preston 0-3 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
15%
3.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
2.63
Over Pick
71%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
41%
4-5
30%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.6pp
15%
Draw
22%
-7.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
34%
-5.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
66%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II The Market 29%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Preston vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II cruised past Preston 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Preston at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Preston vs Melbourne City II?

Preston 0-3 Melbourne City II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Preston 57%, draw 15%, Melbourne City II 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Preston), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →