Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+14.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 17%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
0.83/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.97
-56% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -44%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL2
30.07.2021 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
1-1
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow and Pogon Siedlce shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 60% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 40%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 48%, draw 22%, Pogon Siedlce 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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